Flooding Predictions Overblown

While Mayor Nagin has said in press conferences that St. Charles Avenue would be under 9 feet of water after all is said and done, this is simply not the case. He might be saying that to scare folks into leaving, which is fine, but for all the people who own property in the uptown area it’s simply not true. St. Charles Ave is at sea level, NOT six feet below as Nagin had said. So with waters 3 feet above sea level, there will be 3 feet of water on St. Charles Ave, which seems to be the case in some places. People closer to the river, especially between Magazine and Tchoupitoulas, will face minimal flooding. The same may be true for the Bywater area between St. Claude and the river. That is high ground, it is a natural levee and several feet above sea level.

I live in Mid City and my elevation is about 1.5 feet below sea level, meaning 4-5 feet of water over there, most likely. Bad, yes. But maybe the possessions that I put up on high closet shelves before leaving will still be dry.

(Image courtesy The Washington Post)

This is an elevation map of the city. Basically, Green=good. Yellow=some water. Red=water. The richest green hues on that map, right along the river, are roughly 14 feet above sea level. The corps of engineers has said water levels will top out at 3 feet above sea level and then receed as the lake water level lowers.

Fox News is saying the entire city will be covered in 15 feet of water. That is simply bullshit. Close to the lake that will be the case, but not anywhere else. If you’re uptown, downtown, bywater, warehouse district.. don’t write off your possessions just yet. It’s still going to suck, bad, but don’t listen to the sensationalist reports of 12 feet of water over the entire city.

Update: Just heard from a stalwart who rode it out in his Bywater house, on Dauphine St. between Clouet & Louisa. There is NO water on Dauphine right now. Just read an article saying the water might actually rise higher than the 3 feet above sea level originally predicted, due to the Pearl River cresting.

58 Comments so far

  1. truthsayer (unregistered) on September 3rd, 2005 @ 12:18 am

    bennett2winit I’m sure you’re the type to blame everything on Bush. Lay blame where blame is due is right, but the blame should be afixed firmly with #1 the bleeding heart Liberals who have conditioned a portion of our society to believe they are owed something. NOLA is a very poor and slummish city that has been allowed to stay that way by our welfare system which gives people no incentive to do better for themselves.
    #2 the people that stayed behind that had a way out. I saw on the news men that were interviewed that said they stayed behibd because their plan was to become part of the looters, but they got caught up in the flooding. 7000 people have been rescued so far. Why were their 7000+ people left in NOLA? I believe some people just couldn’t get out, and some couldn’t afford to get out, but shame on the rest that stayed to “see the big one” and “to loot the city”.

    Don’t get me wrong, I love NOLA and the people that live there. I just wish people would listen when warned, and accept responsablity for their own actions.

  2. David R. (unregistered) on September 3rd, 2005 @ 7:14 pm

    I’m looking to find my friends, Thomas, Todd and Eduard Ecker. If anyone reading this knows about their whereabouts, please call me at 617-480-4296

  3. rescue workers view (unregistered) on September 3rd, 2005 @ 9:22 pm

    Excerpt from an e-mail I received from rescue workers:

    I just returned from an operation in New Orleans and thought I would pass this information on to you to give to your friends. I worked the area between Causeway and Canal/Carrollton, and area between Veterans Blvd. and Airline. I do not remember seeing the church, but I can tell you that everything in that area is covered with 5

  4. Chris C (unregistered) on September 5th, 2005 @ 10:39 pm
  5. Guy Sgorrano (unregistered) on September 6th, 2005 @ 1:04 pm

    If there are none, drop gates should be installed at all outlets from the lake into the levees. If the levees failed the drop gates could be closed and result in considerably less water entering the city.

  6. Search Guy (unregistered) on September 10th, 2005 @ 10:11 pm

    If you look at Holland, they are below sea level and have spent over 3 trillion dollars in massive water gates and huge metal walls to protect their country from tragic flooding (we could learn from them). New Orleans is much smaller, I bet it could be replicated (smaller scale) for less than 10 billion…

  7. Gara Anderson (unregistered) on September 12th, 2005 @ 3:43 am

    Is Dauphine St dry in the Metassas (not sure about spelling) Grocery Store area?

  8. Tom (unregistered) on September 13th, 2005 @ 9:05 am

    Chris: Thanks for your efforts. Very good info. I hate to admit it, but some of us landlocked folks still don’t have a good understanding of the canal system, and how it functions. Can you enlighten us a little? Are the canals built up above lake level, and what is their status during normal times? I have not been able to find a thorough description of the system. Thanks, Tom
    P.S. It would be nice to see those writers making a political issue of the whole disaster give it a rest. It’s time to move on.

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